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2010~2025年广西某妇幼保健机构HIV抗体检测情况及新报告HIV/AIDS病例流行病学特征分析▲
HIV antibody testing status and epidemiological characteristics of newly reported HIV/AIDS cases at a maternal and child health institution in Guangxi, 2010-2025

内科 页码:313-320

作者机构:广西壮族自治区妇幼保健院,广西南宁市 530001

基金信息:传染病预防控制国家重点实验室自主研究开放课题(2019SKLD316);广西壮族自治区卫生健康委员会西医类自筹经费科研课题(Z-A20240340,Z-A20240346) 共同第一作者:袁春柳,王晴 通信作者:杨小艺

DOI:10.16121/j.cnki.cn45-1347/r.2026.03.10

  • 中文简介
  • 英文简介
  • 参考文献

目的 分析广西某妇幼保健机构2010~2025年人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)抗体检测情况及新报告HIV/获得性免疫缺陷综合征(AIDS)病例的流行病学特征,为优化AIDS防控策略提供科学依据。方法 采用回顾性研究方法,数据来源于中国疾病预防控制信息系统艾滋病综合防治信息系统。收集2010年1月1日至2025年12月31日在广西壮族自治区妇幼保健院进行HIV抗体检测并最终确认为阳性的病例资料。构建Joinpoint回归模型以分析HIV/AIDS病例新发现率的时间变化趋势,选取加权贝叶斯信息准则(WBIC)最小值对应的模型为最优模型;通过模型估计各分段(若存在)的年度变化百分比(APC)及全周期平均年度变化百分比(AAPC)。将研究时段分为三个时期(2010~2014年、2015~2020年、2021~2025年),比较不同时期新报告病例的人口学特征、样本来源、暴露因素与感染途径分布差异。结果 2010~2025年累计完成HIV抗体检测1 187 057人次,新报告HIV/AIDS病例211例。(年度)HIV抗体检测人次数由2010年的24 091人次增长至2024年的110 718人次;同期,(年度)新报告病例数由2012年的峰值27例波动下降至2024年的2例;(年度)新发现率已由2010年的9.13/万人次降至2024年的0.18/万人次。Joinpoint回归模型显示,2010~2025年HIV/AIDS病例新发现率未识别出趋势拐点,全周期呈单一线性下降趋势,APC值为-20.71%(95%CI:-25.08%~-16.09%,P<0.001),AAPC与APC数值一致。211例新报告HIV/AIDS病例中,除职业外,性别、年龄、民族、婚姻情况、文化程度、疾病程度等其他人群特征在三个时期分布稳定(均P>0.05)。不同时期样本来源分布差异有统计学意义(P<0.05):2010~2014年以自愿咨询检测和婚前检查为主,2015~2020年以自愿咨询检测和其他就诊者检测为主,2021~2025年以其他就诊者检测和术前检测为主。在暴露因素方面,211例HIV/AIDS新报告病例中,77.73%(164例)的病例有非婚异性性接触史,21.33%(45例)的病例其配偶/固定性伴阳性。不同时期新报告HIV/AIDS病例的感染途径构成差异无统计学意义(P>0.05),均以异性性传播为主。结论 2010~2025年,该妇幼保健机构HIV检测覆盖面不断扩大,新报告病例数及新发现率显著下降,防控成效明显。病例发现的主要途径由患者主动寻求检测转向在常规医疗检查中的被动发现。建议持续强化孕产期筛查与中老年、家务/待业等重点人群的干预,关注家庭内传播风险,以进一步降低母婴传播率及晚发现率。

Objective To analyze the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) antibody testing status and the epidemiological characteristics of newly reported HIV/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) cases at a maternal and child health institution in Guangxi from 2010 to 2025, so as to provide scientific evidence for optimizing AIDS prevention and control strategies. Methods A retrospective study was conducted using data from the Comprehensive AIDS Prevention and Control Information System of the China Disease Prevention and Control Information System. Case data of individuals who underwent HIV antibody testing at the Maternal and Child Health Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region from January 1st, 2010 to December 31st, 2025 and were eventually confirmed positive were collected. A Joinpoint regression model was constructed to analyze the temporal trends in the new detection rate of HIV/AIDS cases, with the model corresponding to the minimum weighted Bayesian information criterion (WBIC) selected as the optimal model. The annual percentage change (APC) for each segment (if any) and the average annual percentage change (AAPC) over the entire period were estimated from the model. The study period was divided into three intervals (2010-2014, 2015-2020, and 2021-2025) to compare the differences in demographic characteristics, sample sources, exposure factors, and transmission route distribution among newly reported cases across the different periods. Results From 2010 to 2025, a total of 1 187 057 HIV antibody tests were performed, and 211 new HIV/AIDS cases were reported. The number of people receiving HIV antibody tests (annual) increased from 24 091 person-times in 2010 to 110 718 person-times in 2024; over the same period, the number of newly reported cases (annual) fluctuated downward from a peak of 27 in 2012 to 2 in 2024; the new detection rate (annual) decreased from 9.13 per 10 000 person-times in 2010 to 0.18 per 10 000 person-times in 2024. The Joinpoint regression model showed no turning point in the new detection rate of HIV/AIDS cases from 2010 to 2025, with a single linear downward trend over the entire period; the APC was -20.71% (95% CI: -25.08% to -16.09%, P<0.001), and the AAPC was consistent with the APC. Among the 211 newly reported HIV/AIDS cases, apart from occupation, the distribution of other demographic characteristics—including gender, age, ethnicity, marital status, education level, and disease stage—remained stable across the three periods (all P>0.05). The distribution of sample sources showed statistically significant differences across periods (P<0.05): voluntary counseling and testing and premarital examination predominated in 2010-2014; voluntary counseling and testing and other patient testing predominated in 2015-2020; and other patient testing and preoperative testing predominated in 2021-2025. Regarding exposure factors, among the 211 newly reported HIV/AIDS cases, 77.73% (164 cases) had a history of non‑marital heterosexual contact, and 21.33% (45 cases) had spouses/regular sexual partners who were HIV‑positive. The composition of transmission routes among newly reported HIV/AIDS cases showed no statistically significant difference (P>0.05), with heterosexual transmission being the predominant route in all periods. Conclusion From 2010 to 2025, HIV testing coverage at this maternal and child health institution has continuously expanded, while the number of newly reported cases and the new detection rate have significantly declined, indicating notable prevention and control achievements. The primary mode of case detection has shifted from patient‑initiated active testing to passive detection during routine medical examinations. It is recommended to continuously strengthen antenatal screening and interventions targeting key populations such as middle‑aged and elderly individuals and the homemakers/unemployed, while also paying attention to the risk of intra‑family transmission, so as to further reduce the mother‑to‑child transmission rate and the rate of late diagnosis.


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